Clearline

Game-log hit rates for NFL player props. Set a line, read how often it actually cleared.

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Matchups
Week 1
Click a game to filter the player list to those two teams.
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    Season averages
    Game log vs. the line
    Over the line Under the line Line Low snap count Newest game at right
    Matchup—
    Defensive splits are what each team allowed per game to the position, summed across every opposing player at that spot — a team-level tendency, not a shadow-coverage read.
    By opponent —
    Injury report—
    Availability moves lines more than any stat here. A teammate ruled Out is the usual reason a target or carry share jumps — check who is missing before trusting a rate.
    Game log
    Key — what each column meansopen

    Reading this honestly. A hit rate is a backward-looking frequency, not a probability. Small samples swing hard — ten games is a ±15pt margin of error, and a line that moved because of injury, weather, or scheme makes old games poor comparables. The break-even above already includes the book’s vig, so clearing it by a point or two is noise, not edge. Stats: nflverse, regular season. Schedule & logos: ESPN.